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What this means. A wallet put $10.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 9% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.4k
SELL No @ 91¢ · 11,433 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet strike123 took No (sell) for $10.4k at an average 91¢. At that price the market implied a 9% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 91¢
- Implied odds
- 9.0%
- Size
- $10.4k
- Placed
- May 22, 22:43 EDT
- Market close
- May 25, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- strike123
- Tx
- 0x45c129ca…
This wallet's graded record
3/5-18.7 pts
expected 3.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -9 ptsNo price · entry 91¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $76.2k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $21.6k | excluded |