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What this means. A wallet put $71.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 77% chance. It won. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$71.4k
SELL Yes @ 23¢ · 309,718 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)3.6× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet Valen9 took Yes (sell) for $71.4k at an average 23¢. At that price the market implied a 77% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $71.4k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 23¢
- Implied odds
- 77.0%
- Size
- $71.4k
- Placed
- May 24, 16:11 EDT
- Market close
- May 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Valen9
- Tx
- 0x45779cd4…
This wallet's graded record
4/8+0.3 pts
expected 4.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +23 ptsYes price · entry 23¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.8k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $100.1k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.6k | excluded |