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What this means. A wallet put $13.8k on Spain, at a price that gave it a 92% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+7.5 pts over 23 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.8k
BUY Spain @ 91.7¢ · 15,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet nigiri99 took Spain (buy) for $13.8k at an average 91.7¢. At that price the market implied a 92% chance for that side. The market resolved Spain. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.8k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 92¢ means
92%chance the market gave
−1111American odds
$1.00paid per share if Spain wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 91.7¢
- Implied odds
- 91.7%
- As American odds
- −1111 no vig
- Size
- $13.8k
- Placed
- Jul 19, 17:44 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Spain
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- nigiri99
- Tx
- 0x443af796…
This wallet's graded record
16/23+7.5 pts
expected 14.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $33.7k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $29.8k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $39.4k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | MED SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $72.4k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $13.4k | excluded |