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What this means. A wallet put $24.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 89% chance. It won. This wallet has only 14 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$24.9k
BUY No @ 89¢ · 27,974 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet The Spirit of Ukraine>UM took No (buy) for $24.9k at an average 89¢. At that price the market implied a 89% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $24.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 89¢ means
89%chance the market gave
−809American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 89¢
- Implied odds
- 89.0%
- Size
- $24.9k
- Placed
- Aug 16, 19:23 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 30, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- The Spirit of Ukraine>UM
- Tx
- 0x42dbd063…
This wallet's graded record
12/14+2.3 pts
expected 11.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $26.1k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $432.1k 5.5× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $45.9k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $137.6k | excluded |