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Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesmissed
What this means. A wallet put $249.6k on Nuggets, at a price that gave it a 52% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesmissed$249.6k
BUY Nuggets @ 52¢ · 479,912 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $100k5 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet 0x4924…3782 took Nuggets (buy) for $249.6k at an average 52¢. At that price the market implied a 52% chance for that side. The market resolved Timberwolves, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $249.6k+2
5 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 52¢ means
52%chance the market gave
−108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Nuggets wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 52¢
- Implied odds
- 52.0%
- As American odds
- −108 no vig
- Size
- $249.6k
- Placed
- Apr 25, 14:39 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 25, 20:30 EDT
- Result
- Timberwolves
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x4924…3782
- Tx
- 0x42d73220…
This wallet's graded record
6/11+2.5 pts
expected 5.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -52 ptsNuggets price · entry 52¢ · resolved Timberwolves
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | HIGH SELL Timberwolves @ 93.2¢ | $120.7k 4.4× usual |
excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $19.0k | excluded |