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What this means. A wallet put $20.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.9k
BUY Yes @ 98¢ · 21,290 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet allen114 took Yes (buy) for $20.9k at an average 98¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.9k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4900American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98¢
- Implied odds
- 98.0%
- Size
- $20.9k
- Placed
- Apr 06, 10:41 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- allen114
- Tx
- 0x421e67bd…
This wallet's graded record
7/8-6.2 pts
expected 7.5 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 2.9× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $67.4k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $112.5k | excluded |