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What this means. A wallet put $154.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -16.0 pts vs the price over 55 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$154.4k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 154,506 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog side4 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)6.8× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet mooseborzoi took Yes (sell) for $154.4k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $154.4k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $154.4k
- Placed
- May 17, 12:57 EDT
- Market close
- May 17, 07:30 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- mooseborzoi
- Tx
- 0x41227f52…
This wallet's graded record
28/55-16.0 pts
expected 36.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $160.4k | excluded |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $85.2k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $17.2k | excluded |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? | MED SELL Yes @ 85¢ | $66.2k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢ | $60.0k 3.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? | LOW BUY No @ 37¢ | $18.5k | excluded |