← Wallets
+$3No · avg 94.3¢ → 97.4¢ · $97+$25No · avg 72¢ → 96.6¢ · $97+$5No · avg 72¢ → 82¢ · $45+$7No · avg 76¢ → 94.5¢ · $37−$25No · avg 49¢ → 25¢ · $25−$0No · avg 60¢ → 58¢ · $19
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did -68.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-68.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$55.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±46.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$11.6k
Last 30 days −$24 · $235.5k volume · 200 trades · since Apr 21, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$10.6k
Open P&L · 8 positions
−$911
Closed-position win rate
71%
62 closed
Wallet age · markets
187d
67 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -68.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 68¢ | $27.7k | missed |
 Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $17.2k | excluded |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x3f2bc3…