← Live flags
Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $19.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded$19.9k
BUY No @ 99.3¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Vilgefortz took No (buy) for $19.9k at an average 99.3¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.9k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−14186American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.3¢
- Implied odds
- 99.3%
- Size
- $19.9k
- Placed
- Dec 10, 17:34 EST
- Market close
- Dec 31, 18:55 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Vilgefortz
- Tx
- 0x3f4dcf44…
This wallet's graded record
9/9+27.0 pts
expected 6.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $59.9k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $64.9k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $118.0k | excluded |