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What this means. A wallet put $158.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?excluded
$158.0k
BUY Yes @ 55¢ · 287,547 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet graypillow took Yes (buy) for $158.0k at an average 55¢. At that price the market implied a 55% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $158.0k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 55¢ means
55%chance the market gave
−122American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
55¢
Implied odds
54.9%
As American odds
−122 no vig
Size
$158.0k
Placed
Feb 28, 09:55 EST
Market close
Feb 28, 10:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
graypillow
Tx
0x3e8349d6…

Entry to resolution

Grade -55 pts
Yes price · entry 55¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 55¢ · $158.0k WHALE $158.0K @ 55¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.1k0% ChompChomp888238d agoexcluded
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% Supah9ga238d agoexcluded
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $16.0k0% redvinny238d agoexcluded
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% TheOnlyHuman238d agoexcluded
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ $165.4k
3.7× usual
0% Sensei2238d agoexcluded
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $54.6k
2.3× usual
0% KingVon99238d agoexcluded