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What this means. A wallet put $16.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.0k
SELL No @ 99.9¢ · 15,993 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet redvinny took No (sell) for $16.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $16.0k
- Placed
- Feb 28, 14:07 EST
- Market close
- Feb 28, 10:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- redvinny
- Tx
- 0xf4c64a6c…
This wallet's graded record
7/9+10.3 pts
expected 6.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $165.4k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $54.6k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $49.7k 2.4× usual |
excluded |