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What this means. A wallet put $13.6k on not No, at a price that gave it a 36% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 14 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.6k
SELL No @ 64¢ · 21,220 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet tourists took No (sell) for $13.6k at an average 64¢. At that price the market implied a 36% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 64¢
- Implied odds
- 36.0%
- Size
- $13.6k
- Placed
- Mar 02, 15:26 EST
- Market close
- Jun 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- tourists
- Tx
- 0x3cf4f039…
This wallet's graded record
13/14+13.0 pts
expected 11.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.3k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $29.9k | excluded |