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What this means. A wallet put $87.3k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 33% chance. It lost. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$87.3k
SELL Yes @ 67¢ · 130,869 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletPolitics
What happened
Wallet lkitckdi9 took Yes (sell) for $87.3k at an average 67¢. At that price the market implied a 33% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $87.3k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 67¢
- Implied odds
- 33.3%
- Size
- $87.3k
- Placed
- Aug 31, 08:05 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 21, 08:43 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- lkitckdi9
- Tx
- 0x3cc53440…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $149.8k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $10.8k | excluded |