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What this means. A wallet put $20.6k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.6k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 20,661 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet Bertapotamous took Yes (sell) for $20.6k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $20.6k
- Placed
- May 18, 15:10 EDT
- Market close
- May 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Bertapotamous
- Tx
- 0x3c066df7…
This wallet's graded record
5/5+21.4 pts
expected 3.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $65.3k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $99.7k 3.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $295.9k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.6k | excluded |