← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $10.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. It won. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.0k
BUY No @ 40¢ · 24,940 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet AssuredAdverts took No (buy) for $10.0k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 40¢ means
40%chance the market gave
+149American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 40¢
- Implied odds
- 40.1%
- Size
- $10.0k
- Placed
- Jan 26, 04:54 EST
- Market close
- Feb 07, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- AssuredAdverts
- Tx
- 0x3b2d424a…
This wallet's graded record
1/11-29.5 pts
expected 4.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $17.9k | excluded |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $54.5k | excluded |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $30.7k | excluded |