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What this means. A wallet put $49.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a proven record: +12.8 pts vs the price over 34 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$49.1k
BUY No @ 96.3¢ · 51,035 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Proven wallet2.1× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet GoriIIa took No (buy) for $49.1k at an average 96.3¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $49.1k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2600American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 96.3¢
- Implied odds
- 96.3%
- Size
- $49.1k
- Placed
- May 16, 04:07 EDT
- Market close
- May 15, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- GoriIIa
- Tx
- 0x3a68efe6…
This wallet's graded record
32/34+12.8 pts
expected 27.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $17.3k | excluded |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.5¢ | $295.6k | excluded |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.4¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $68.3k | excluded |