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What this means. A wallet put $10.8k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.8k
SELL Yes @ 99.4¢ · 10,863 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletOther
What happened
Wallet vpetroff took Yes (sell) for $10.8k at an average 99.4¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.4¢
- Implied odds
- 0.6%
- Size
- $10.8k
- Placed
- May 16, 19:14 EDT
- Market close
- May 15, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- vpetroff
- Tx
- 0x789dcea4…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $17.3k | excluded |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.5¢ | $295.6k | excluded |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $68.3k | excluded |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $23.8k | excluded |