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What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 30% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.0k
BUY No @ 30¢ · 50,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet gmanas took No (buy) for $15.0k at an average 30¢. At that price the market implied a 30% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 30¢ means
30%chance the market gave
+233American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 30¢
- Implied odds
- 30.0%
- As American odds
- +233 no vig
- Size
- $15.0k
- Placed
- Feb 22, 11:30 EST
- Market close
- Feb 22, 11:30 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- gmanas
- Tx
- 0x3a092f45…
This wallet's graded record
12/17+4.8 pts
expected 11.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -30 ptsNo price · entry 30¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $17.5k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 84¢ | $41.6k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 84¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢ | $11.3k | excluded |