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What this means. A wallet put $10.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 3% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+8.5 pts over 35 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.4k
SELL Yes @ 96.7¢ · 10,717 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet MisTKy took Yes (sell) for $10.4k at an average 96.7¢. At that price the market implied a 3% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $10.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 96.7¢
- Implied odds
- 3.3%
- As American odds
- +2952 no vig
- Size
- $10.4k
- Placed
- Apr 21, 10:47 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- MisTKy
- Tx
- 0x39382fe0…
This wallet's graded record
25/35+8.5 pts
expected 22.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |