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Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5excluded
What this means. A wallet put $15.9k on Under, at a price that gave it a 33% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+11.3 pts over 67 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5excluded$15.9k
BUY Under @ 33¢ · 48,302 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-076daa took Under (buy) for $15.9k at an average 33¢. At that price the market implied a 33% chance for that side. The market resolved Over. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $15.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 33¢ means
33%chance the market gave
+203American odds
$1.00paid per share if Under wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 33¢
- Implied odds
- 33.0%
- As American odds
- +203 no vig
- Size
- $15.9k
- Placed
- Jun 16, 18:33 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 16, 18:00 EDT
- Result
- Over
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- omnibus-076daa
- Tx
- 0x3650f470…
This wallet's graded record
39/67+11.3 pts
expected 31.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -33 ptsUnder price · entry 33¢ · resolved Over
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $83.2k | excluded |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $233.1k 6.1× usual |
excluded |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99¢ | $24.5k | excluded |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 89¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | MED BUY Over @ 61¢ | $47.8k | excluded |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | MED BUY Over @ 60¢ | $48.6k | excluded |