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Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5excluded
What this means. A wallet put $233.1k on not Over, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-10.9 pts over 29 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5excluded$233.1k
SELL Over @ 99.9¢ · 233,331 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)6.1× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x3dfb…abaf took Over (sell) for $233.1k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Over. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $233.1k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $233.1k
- Placed
- Jun 16, 18:48 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 16, 18:00 EDT
- Result
- Over
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x3dfb…abaf
- Tx
- 0xd7a4de18…
This wallet's graded record
13/29-10.9 pts
expected 16.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsOver price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved Over · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $83.2k | excluded |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99¢ | $24.5k | excluded |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 89¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | MED BUY Under @ 33¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | MED BUY Over @ 61¢ | $47.8k | excluded |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | MED BUY Over @ 60¢ | $48.6k | excluded |