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What this means. A wallet put $20.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 86% chance. It won. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.7k
BUY No @ 86¢ · 24,039 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet blkmont took No (buy) for $20.7k at an average 86¢. At that price the market implied a 86% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 86¢ means
86%chance the market gave
−611American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 86¢
- Implied odds
- 85.9%
- Size
- $20.7k
- Placed
- Apr 11, 08:53 EDT
- Market close
- May 19, 20:18 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- blkmont
- Tx
- 0x35332d92…
This wallet's graded record
5/9-14.3 pts
expected 6.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 79¢ | $14.8k | missed | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $12.0k | missed | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 57¢ | $14.2k | called | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $14.5k | missed | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $25.0k | missed | |
| LOW BUY No @ 60¢ | $17.4k | called |