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Raptors vs. Wizardsmissed
What this means. A wallet put $16.5k on Wizards, at a price that gave it a 31% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Raptors vs. Wizardsmissed$16.5k
BUY Wizards @ 31¢ · 53,107 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet monkeymashingkeyboard took Wizards (buy) for $16.5k at an average 31¢. At that price the market implied a 31% chance for that side. The market resolved Raptors, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 31¢ means
31%chance the market gave
+223American odds
$1.00paid per share if Wizards wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 31¢
- Implied odds
- 31.0%
- As American odds
- +223 no vig
- Size
- $16.5k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 02:15 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- Raptors
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- monkeymashingkeyboard
- Tx
- 0x34ddc456…
This wallet's graded record
4/11-14.0 pts
expected 5.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -31 ptsWizards price · entry 31¢ · resolved Raptors
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors vs. Wizards | LOW SELL Raptors @ 99.9¢ | $50.4k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Raptors vs. Wizards | MED BUY Raptors @ 83¢ | $54.8k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Raptors vs. Wizards | LOW BUY Wizards @ 25¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Raptors vs. Wizards | LOW BUY Raptors @ 74¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Raptors vs. Wizards | HIGH BUY Wizards @ 27¢ | $130.8k | excluded |
| Raptors vs. Wizards | LOW BUY Raptors @ 75¢ | $37.9k | called |