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What this means. A wallet put $15.3k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 75% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.3k
SELL Yes @ 25¢ · 61,158 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 204 took Yes (sell) for $15.3k at an average 25¢. At that price the market implied a 75% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 25¢
- Implied odds
- 74.9%
- Size
- $15.3k
- Placed
- Apr 15, 00:05 EDT
- Market close
- May 30, 18:08 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 204
- Tx
- 0x33cde114…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-58.4 pts
expected 0.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $169.7k 11.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $71.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $44.3k | excluded |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.7k | excluded |