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Nuggets vs. Spursexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $201.0k on not Nuggets, at a price that gave it a 33% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.9 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Nuggets vs. Spursexcluded$201.0k
SELL Nuggets @ 67¢ · 300,000 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Proven wallet4.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet ndb1 took Nuggets (sell) for $201.0k at an average 67¢. At that price the market implied a 33% chance for that side. The market resolved Nuggets. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $201.0k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 67¢
- Implied odds
- 33.0%
- As American odds
- +203 no vig
- Size
- $201.0k
- Placed
- Apr 12, 21:49 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 12, 20:30 EDT
- Result
- Nuggets
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ndb1
- Tx
- 0x31ec66fd…
This wallet's graded record
16/25+12.9 pts
expected 12.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -33 ptsNuggets price · entry 67¢ · resolved Nuggets · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $58.4k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $59.9k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 97.4¢ | $15.4k | excluded |