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What this means. A wallet put $478.8k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$478.8k
SELL Yes @ 47¢ · 1,021,592 shares in 8 fills
Size ≥ $250k8 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletSports
What happened
Wallet 0x06ef…e673 took Yes (sell) for $478.8k at an average 47¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $478.8k+3
8 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 47¢
- Implied odds
- 53.1%
- As American odds
- −113 no vig
- Size
- $478.8k
- Placed
- Aug 19, 17:06 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 19, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x06ef…e673
- Tx
- 0x2eefafd1…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $151.4k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $100.0k | excluded | |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $684.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $13.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $24.1k | called |