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What this means. A wallet put $151.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$151.4k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 151,515 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet kindar took Yes (sell) for $151.4k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $151.4k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $151.4k
- Placed
- Aug 19, 17:12 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 19, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- kindar
- Tx
- 0x2e0cc8f3…
This wallet's graded record
8/9+15.3 pts
expected 6.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| HIGH SELL Yes @ 47¢ | $478.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $100.0k | excluded | |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $684.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $13.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $24.1k | called |