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What this means. A wallet put $15.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. It won. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.3k
BUY No @ 55¢ · 28,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet ImJustKen took No (buy) for $15.3k at an average 55¢. At that price the market implied a 55% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 55¢ means
55%chance the market gave
−120American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 55¢
- Implied odds
- 54.6%
- Size
- $15.3k
- Placed
- Jan 15, 06:46 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ImJustKen
- Tx
- 0x2da5c7ce…
This wallet's graded record
6/12+1.4 pts
expected 5.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $98.4k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $28.7k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.8k | excluded |