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What this means. A wallet put $10.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.5k
SELL No @ 99.5¢ · 10,527 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet imgone took No (sell) for $10.5k at an average 99.5¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.5¢
- Implied odds
- 0.5%
- Size
- $10.5k
- Placed
- Jan 01, 04:08 EST
- Market close
- Dec 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- imgone
- Tx
- 0x2c92a2d0…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-43.5 pts
expected 0.9 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $169.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded | |
| MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $194.7k 5.5× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |