← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $20.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+8.5 pts over 35 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.3k
SELL No @ 99.6¢ · 20,430 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet MisTKy took No (sell) for $20.3k at an average 99.6¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.6¢
- Implied odds
- 0.4%
- Size
- $20.3k
- Placed
- Aug 27, 13:49 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MisTKy
- Tx
- 0x2c378abf…
This wallet's graded record
25/35+8.5 pts
expected 22.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsNo price · entry 99.6¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $37.7k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $25.9k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |