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What this means. A wallet put $49.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$49.1k
BUY No @ 97.3¢ · 50,484 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet FedMoneyPrinter took No (buy) for $49.1k at an average 97.3¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $49.1k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3603American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97.3¢
- Implied odds
- 97.3%
- Size
- $49.1k
- Placed
- Feb 21, 22:05 EST
- Market close
- Feb 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- FedMoneyPrinter
- Tx
- 0x2c0e2c2d…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+5.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -97 ptsNo price · entry 97.3¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $83.5k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $103.1k 3.5× usual |
excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.1k | excluded |