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What this means. A wallet put $19.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?excluded
$19.9k
BUY No @ 99.7¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other

What happened

Wallet StudentMoney took No (buy) for $19.9k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $19.9k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.7¢
Implied odds
99.7%
Size
$19.9k
Placed
Jul 01, 10:49 EDT
Market close
Jun 29, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
StudentMoney
Tx
0x2bcac4af…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-14.2 pts
expected 2.6 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.3k0% Valen9110d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $65.7k0% hymolu110d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $13.6k0% 0x7131…29cc110d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $17.8k0% djked110d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% hymolu110d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.2k0% 0xce83…5b97110d agoexcluded