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What this means. A wallet put $11.7k on not Philadelphia Phillies, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresmissed
$11.7k
SELL Philadelphia Phillies @ 53¢ · 22,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports

What happened

Wallet 0x5e6e…be00 took Philadelphia Phillies (sell) for $11.7k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. The market resolved Philadelphia Phillies, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
53¢
Implied odds
47.0%
As American odds
+113 no vig
Size
$11.7k
Placed
May 25, 10:08 EDT
Market close
May 25, 18:40 EDT
Result
Philadelphia Phillies
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x5e6e…be00
Tx
0x2accb8b4…
This wallet's graded record
4/7+6.8 pts
expected 3.5 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -47 pts
Philadelphia Phillies price · entry 53¢ · resolved Philadelphia Phillies · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 53¢ · $11.7k WHALE $11.7K @ 53¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego PadresLOW SELL Philadelphia Phillies @ 99.9¢ $19.6k0% Mikee12152d agoexcluded
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego PadresLOW SELL Philadelphia Phillies @ 99.9¢ $10.4k0% UAEAD152d agoexcluded
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego PadresLOW BUY San Diego Padres @ 49¢ $98.0k
2.4× usual
49% bossoskil1152d agoexcluded
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego PadresLOW BUY San Diego Padres @ 49¢ $27.2k49% 0x3dfb…abaf152d agoexcluded
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego PadresLOW BUY Philadelphia Phillies @ 52¢ $20.8k52% Feromont152d agoexcluded
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego PadresMED BUY San Diego Padres @ 49¢ $143.9k
3.2× usual
49% texaskid152d agoexcluded