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What this means. A wallet put $10.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 19 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.3k
BUY No @ 49¢ · 20,921 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet zhuz632 took No (buy) for $10.3k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+104American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 49¢
- Implied odds
- 49.0%
- As American odds
- +104 no vig
- Size
- $10.3k
- Placed
- Jun 14, 17:28 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 14, 22:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- zhuz632
- Tx
- 0x2abc0b97…
This wallet's graded record
11/19+6.4 pts
expected 9.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -49 ptsNo price · entry 49¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $23.8k | excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $264.4k 4.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $102.0k 3.6× usual |
excluded |