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What this means. A wallet put $90.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 21% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$90.2k
BUY Yes @ 21¢ · 432,971 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side5 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletEconomy
What happened
Wallet jzhong5 took Yes (buy) for $90.2k at an average 21¢. At that price the market implied a 21% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $90.2k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
5 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 21¢ means
21%chance the market gave
+380American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 21¢
- Implied odds
- 20.8%
- Size
- $90.2k
- Placed
- Sep 11, 19:41 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- jzhong5
- Tx
- 0x294fe3a7…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-20.8 pts
expected 0.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -21 ptsYes price · entry 21¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 95.6¢ | $49.5k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 14¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 86¢ | $33.2k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 14¢ | $31.9k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 89¢ | $30.3k | excluded |