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What this means. A wallet put $10.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. It lost. This wallet has a proven record: +13.4 pts vs the price over 36 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.5k
BUY Yes @ 53¢ · 19,933 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet Erasmus. took Yes (buy) for $10.5k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.5k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−112American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 52.8%
- Size
- $10.5k
- Placed
- May 10, 09:24 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Erasmus.
- Tx
- 0x2627313a…
This wallet's graded record
29/36+13.4 pts
expected 24.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $65.7k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.2k | excluded |