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What this means. A wallet put $903.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+6.4 pts over 33 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?excluded
$903.8k
BUY No @ 97.6¢ · 926,398 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hProven wallet34.7× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet 0F62 took No (buy) for $903.8k at an average 97.6¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $903.8k+3
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4006American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
97.6¢
Implied odds
97.6%
As American odds
−4006 no vig
Size
$903.8k
Placed
Jun 14, 03:05 EDT
Market close
Jun 14, 13:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0F62
Tx
0x24d12ece…
This wallet's graded record
30/33+6.4 pts
expected 27.9 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +2 pts
No price · entry 97.6¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 97.6¢ · $903.8k WHALE $903.8K @ 97.6¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $39.7k0% shark142131d agoexcluded
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $61.1k0% zhqzhq131d agoexcluded
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $16.3k0% acorp131d agoexcluded
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $50.0k0% Swooferdeluxe131d agoexcluded
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $99.9k
4.1× usual
0% eth10001131d agoexcluded
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% smallqq131d agoexcluded