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What this means. A wallet put $37.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 14 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$37.1k
BUY No @ 98.1¢ · 37,817 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet The Spirit of Ukraine>UM took No (buy) for $37.1k at an average 98.1¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $37.1k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−5163American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.1¢
- Implied odds
- 98.1%
- Size
- $37.1k
- Placed
- Apr 15, 14:36 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- The Spirit of Ukraine>UM
- Tx
- 0x23700357…
This wallet's graded record
12/14+2.3 pts
expected 11.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.6k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.1¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $55.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | MED SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $147.0k 4.9× usual |
excluded |