← Wallets
+$70No · avg 70¢ → 74¢ · $1,470 · 1 proven with, 0 against−$471Yes · avg 8.3¢ → 6¢ · $1,200+$38Yes · avg 64¢ → 66¢ · $998 · 2 proven with, 0 against+$2Yes · avg 63¢ → 64¢ · $826+$22Yes · avg 67¢ → 70¢ · $695−$25Yes · avg 12¢ → 12¢ · $575 · 0 proven with, 1 against+$89Yes · avg 73¢ → 87¢ · $560+$4Yes · avg 74¢ → 74¢ · $559
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +9.9 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+9.9 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$38.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±29.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$19.2k
Last 30 days −$3,475 · $4.84M volume · 7,622 trades · since Mar 02, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$115.2k
Open P&L · 42 positions
−$4,378
Closed-position win rate
82%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
601d
631 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +9.9 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.3¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 90.1¢ | $10.6k | called |
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