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What this means. A wallet put $32.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? excluded
$32.1k
SELL No @ 99.6¢ · 32,265 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet madril took No (sell) for $32.1k at an average 99.6¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $32.1k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.6¢
Implied odds
0.4%
Size
$32.1k
Placed
Jan 25, 10:57 EST
Market close
Jan 31, 23:59 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
madril
Tx
0x22de84cd…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+35.0 pts
expected 0.7 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
No price · entry 99.6¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.6¢ · $32.1k WHALE $32.1K @ 99.6¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $25.0k0% bosshog265d agoexcluded
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $24.0k100% elmcap2266d agoexcluded
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $44.4k100% elmcap2266d agoexcluded
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $11.6k100% tetrase266d agoexcluded
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $99.2k100% elmcap2267d agoexcluded
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $50.6k0% thegreengem267d agoexcluded