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What this means. A wallet put $25.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 10% chance. It won. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$25.0k
BUY Yes @ 10¢ · 247,787 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet Marcoli took Yes (buy) for $25.0k at an average 10¢. At that price the market implied a 10% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $25.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 10¢ means
10%chance the market gave
+891American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 10¢
- Implied odds
- 10.1%
- As American odds
- +891 no vig
- Size
- $25.0k
- Placed
- Jul 02, 11:24 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Marcoli
- Tx
- 0x2214f67b…
This wallet's graded record
2/5-13.2 pts
expected 2.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $43.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $26.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $100.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $64.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.5k | excluded |