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What this means. A wallet put $45.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 72% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -29.7 pts vs the price over 24 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$45.4k
BUY Yes @ 72¢ · 63,083 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet sleepy-panda took Yes (buy) for $45.4k at an average 72¢. At that price the market implied a 72% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $45.4k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 72¢ means
72%chance the market gave
−257American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 72¢
- Implied odds
- 72.0%
- As American odds
- −257 no vig
- Size
- $45.4k
- Placed
- Mar 02, 14:07 EST
- Market close
- Mar 02, 15:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- sleepy-panda
- Tx
- 0x2163a9f6…
This wallet's graded record
3/24-29.7 pts
expected 10.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -72 ptsYes price · entry 72¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $100.6k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $31.6k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? | LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? | MED BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $181.1k 5.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? | LOW BUY No @ 31¢ | $16.9k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? | MED BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $17.5k | excluded |