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What this means. A wallet put $11.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?excluded
$11.2k
BUY No @ 97.9¢ · 11,450 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet TeemuPukki took No (buy) for $11.2k at an average 97.9¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.2k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4662American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
97.9¢
Implied odds
97.9%
Size
$11.2k
Placed
Jun 06, 06:31 EDT
Market close
Jun 29, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
TeemuPukki
Tx
0x1ff2e55f…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-1.8 pts
expected 1.0 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.3k0% 0xad2f…d8c6 NEW115d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% shibagege116d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% shibagege118d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $50.0k0% kevtp118d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $15.0k0% KazLC119d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $29.9k0% HongKongMenace119d agoexcluded