← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $10.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 11% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.1k
SELL No @ 89¢ · 11,300 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet carlos484 took No (sell) for $10.1k at an average 89¢. At that price the market implied a 11% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.1k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 89¢
- Implied odds
- 10.9%
- Size
- $10.1k
- Placed
- Aug 17, 22:29 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- carlos484
- Tx
- 0x1aed2bd5…
This wallet's graded record
3/5+7.2 pts
expected 2.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $38.3k | excluded |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢ | $36.4k | excluded |