PredictionYogi

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.5 wins, so it did +17.7 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

+17.7 pts

Called / graded

3/3

Expected from price

2.5

Flagged volume

$103.8k

Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±21.7 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$70.2k

Last 30 days +$234 · $37.50M volume · 89,438 trades · since Jan 20, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$859.1k

Open P&L · 9 positions

−$559

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

642d

4033 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Other	3	3	2.5	+17.7 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$14.3k	100%	53d ago	excluded
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 75¢	$10.7k	75%	64d ago	called
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 82¢	$11.6k	82%	70d ago	called
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 90¢	$12.5k	90%	74d ago	called
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$23.0k	100%	203d ago	excluded
US government shutdown Saturday?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$31.6k 2.4× usual	0%	266d ago	excluded

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$14.3k

LOW PredictionYogi · 53d ago

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?called

BUY No @ 75¢$10.7k

LOW PredictionYogi · 64d ago

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?called

BUY No @ 82¢$11.6k

LOW PredictionYogi · 70d ago

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?called

BUY No @ 90¢$12.5k

LOW PredictionYogi · 74d ago

Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$23.0k

LOW PredictionYogi · 203d ago

US government shutdown Saturday?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$31.6k

LOW PredictionYogi · 266d ago

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