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What this means. A wallet put $20.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 77% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?excluded
$20.0k
BUY No @ 77¢ · 25,930 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Other

What happened

Wallet meagainsttheworld took No (buy) for $20.0k at an average 77¢. At that price the market implied a 77% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $20.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 77¢ means
77%chance the market gave
−337American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
77¢
Implied odds
77.1%
Size
$20.0k
Placed
Jul 25, 17:15 EDT
Market close
Jul 24, 19:59 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
meagainsttheworld
Tx
0x1a7eea01…

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $37.4k100% Gleaming-Pear86d agoexcluded
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $10.8k100% tourists86d agoexcluded
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $14.8k0% PrayForPeace86d agoexcluded
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $18.3k100% wigglew86d agoexcluded
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $12.3k99% 0x7131…29cc86d agoexcluded
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?LOW SELL No @ 93.5¢ $10.3k6% PrayForPeace86d agoexcluded