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What this means. A wallet put $19.8k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?excluded
$19.8k
SELL No @ 98.9¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet peoplearestrange took No (sell) for $19.8k at an average 98.9¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $19.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
98.9¢
Implied odds
1.1%
Size
$19.8k
Placed
Jun 28, 16:15 EDT
Market close
Jun 29, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
peoplearestrange
Tx
0x19c0758b…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-24.5 pts
expected 1.7 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -1 pts
No price · entry 98.9¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 98.9¢ · $19.8k WHALE $19.8K @ 98.9¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.3k0% Valen9109d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $65.7k0% hymolu109d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $13.6k0% 0x7131…29cc110d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $17.8k0% djked110d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% hymolu110d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.2k0% 0xce83…5b97110d agoexcluded