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What this means. A wallet put $16.1k on Morocco, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+11.3 pts over 67 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)excluded
$16.1k
BUY Morocco @ 51¢ · 31,531 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports

What happened

Wallet omnibus-076daa took Morocco (buy) for $16.1k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Scotland. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $16.1k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Morocco wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
51¢
Implied odds
51.0%
As American odds
−104 no vig
Size
$16.1k
Placed
Jun 19, 18:04 EDT
Market close
Jun 19, 18:00 EDT
Result
Scotland
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
omnibus-076daa
Tx
0x19bdffc1…
This wallet's graded record
39/67+11.3 pts
expected 31.4 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -51 pts
Morocco price · entry 51¢ · resolved Scotland
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 51¢ · $16.1k WHALE $16.1K @ 51¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)LOW BUY Scotland @ 59¢ $11.8k59% swisstony PROVEN126d agoexcluded
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)LOW BUY Morocco @ 31¢ $12.7k31% meoooow126d agoexcluded
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)MED BUY Morocco @ 31¢ $47.7k31% 0x709e…66f5126d agoexcluded
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)HIGH BUY Morocco @ 31¢ $62.0k
2.3× usual
31% RegardedMoney PROVEN126d agoexcluded
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)LOW BUY Scotland @ 69¢ $77.8k69% 0x2c33…0563126d agoexcluded
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)LOW BUY Morocco @ 32¢ $11.2k32% alexdave888126d agomissed