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What this means. A wallet put $29.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 20% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$29.5k
SELL No @ 80¢ · 36,782 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Fernandoinfante took No (sell) for $29.5k at an average 80¢. At that price the market implied a 20% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $29.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 80¢
- Implied odds
- 19.7%
- Size
- $29.5k
- Placed
- Apr 21, 00:18 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Fernandoinfante
- Tx
- 0x199e957d…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-17.8 pts
expected 1.4 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade -20 ptsNo price · entry 80¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $15.1k | excluded |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $17.5k | excluded |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | LOW SELL No @ 93.2¢ | $10.0k | missed |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | LOW SELL No @ 96.5¢ | $19.1k | missed |