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What this means. A wallet put $81.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 83% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$81.7k
BUY No @ 83¢ · 98,888 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)3.7× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet krazyagain took No (buy) for $81.7k at an average 83¢. At that price the market implied a 83% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $81.7k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 83¢ means
83%chance the market gave
−476American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 83¢
- Implied odds
- 82.6%
- As American odds
- −476 no vig
- Size
- $81.7k
- Placed
- May 24, 16:33 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- krazyagain
- Tx
- 0x192c6f52…
This wallet's graded record
7/8+9.5 pts
expected 6.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $43.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $26.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $100.3k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $64.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.5k | excluded |